The Chicago Bears are on the clock for the 2024 NFL Draft his NFL odds are starting to shorten with each passing day.
After trading Justin Fields to the Pittsburgh Steelers, the Bears appear set to make Caleb Williams the face of the franchise.
Our latest NFL Mock Draft believes it’s going to be a QB-heavy Top 4.
I break it all down for you in our 2024 NFL Draft odds below!
2024 NFL Draft: Odds to go first overall
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook 4/18
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Latest NFL Draft odds update
April 18, 2024: Caleb Williams’ odds of going No.1 overall to the Chicago Bears are shortening with every passing minute. What was -10,000 just last week is now -20,000 and rightfully so. However, behind him is where it gets interesting. Thursday morning I wrote that Jayden Daniels appeared to be the choice at No.2 with his odds shortening from -155 to -330. Well, fast forward to 9 p.m. ET and that may not be the case anymore. Drake Maye has shot up the board from +250 to -115, which is the same odds as Daniels. Do the Commanders know something we don’t?
Previous NFL Draft betting action
April 18, 2024: Caleb Williams’ odds of going No.1 overall to the Chicago Bears are shortening with every passing minute. What was -10,000 just last week is now -20,000 and rightfully so. Behind him, Jayden Daniels’ is winning the fight to go No.2 as his odds have shortened from -155 to -330. Drake Maye and Marvin Harrison appear set to go third and fourth, respectively. April 11, 2024: Two weeks out from the 2024 NFL Draft and we are all waiting for the leak within the Bears organization that confirms they are in fact drafting Caleb Williams. As if -10,000 odds to go first overall aren’t enough. Behind him, the fight to go No. 2 appears to be tilting Jayden Daniels’ way as he’s shortened from -140 to -155. Drake Maye and Marvin Harrison appear set to go third and fourth, respectively. April 4, 2024: We are three weeks away from the 2024 NFL Draft and there is not much more to report than our last update. Caleb Williams remains the odds-on favorite to go No. 1 to Chicago at -8,000, while Jayden Daniels has seen his odds lengthen from +2,500 to +3,00. He is, however, the trending choice to go No. 2 with his odd shortening in that market from -115 to -140. Behind him, Drake Maye appears the choice to make it a Top 3 sweep for the quarterbacks, with Marvin Harrison -200 to go fourth overall. March 28, 2024: It’s Caleb Williams’ draft and everyone knows it. The standout USC QB remains the odds-on favorite to go No. 1 with his odds shortening from -5,000 to -8,000 in a week. Behind him, there’s been plenty of support for Jayden Daniels, but his odds remain the same at +2,500 although his odds of going No. 2 shortened to -115. Drake Maye’s odds have lengthened to +3,500, while J.J. McCarthy is getting some love at +6,000 as a potential long shot. March 21, 2024: It’s Caleb Williams’ draft and everyone knows it. The standout USC QB remains the odds-on favorite to go No. 1 at -5,000 and we finally have an idea of where he may land. The Chicago Bears decided to ship Justin Fields to the Pittsburgh Steelers, opening the door for Williams to be the face of the franchise. Behind him, Drake Maye’s odds have lengthened to +3,000, with Jayden Daniels’ odds shortening to +2,500. Many believe Daniels to be the better of the two, so this will be an interesting storyline to watch for as we approach April 25. March 15, 2024: It’s Caleb Williams’ draft and everyone knows it. The standout USC QB remains the odds-on favorite to go No. 1 at -2,000. The big question is, which team will call his name? Will the Bears trade out of the top spot in favor of collecting a plethora of assets, or will they draft him and collect pennies on the dollar for Justin Fields? Behind him, Drake Maye’s odds have lengthened to +1,600, with Jayden Daniels’ odds shortened to the same mark. Many believe Daniels to be the better of the two, so this will be an interesting storyline to watch as we approach April 25. March 7, 2024: The Chicago Bears appear dead set on selecting Caleb Williams with the No. 1 overall pick. So much so, Williams’ odds have shortened from -1,600 to -2,000. Drake Maye continues to sit second at +1,100 while Jayden Daniels has drawn minor interest at +2,500. Marvin Harrsion Jr. has seen his odds length to +4,000 but is the odds-on favorite to go No. 4. March 4, 2024: The NFL Draft combine is done and dusted and while we’ve got a new all-time 40-yard dash record holder, the NFL Draft odds board saw little movement. While Caleb Williams remains the odds-on favorite to go No. 1 at -1,600, Drake Maye checks in behind him at +1,100. Jayden Daniels continues to sit at +2,500 but Marvison Harrision Jr. has seen his odds lengthen to +2,500 from +2,000. March 1, 2024: The NFL Draft combine is well underway and we’ve seen some movement on the NFL Draft odds board. While Caleb Williams remains the odds-on favorite to go No. 1 at -1,600, Drake May checks in behind him at +1,100. Jayden Daniels continues to sit at +2,500 but Marvison Harrision Jr. has seen his odds lengthen to +2,500 from +2,000. February 16, 2024: It’s everyone’s favorite time of year: Mock draft time! Most projections have Caleb Williams going No. 1 overall, but the question remains to who? He’s currently the -1,500 favorite, with Drake Maye checking in at +1,000, and Marvin Harrison Jr. rounding out the Top 3 at +2,000. Jayden Daniels has seen his odds drop as he’s gone from +4,000 to +2,500. February 2, 2024: The NFL draft order is set and the Chicago Bears are on the clock. Will they give up on Justin Fields in favor of Caleb Williams who is now a -1,200 favorite? Or will they make a trade and allow a team below them to select a potential franchise QB in return for a slew of picks? Either way, Williams has pulled away from Drake Maye (+700) and Marvin Harrison (+1,600). January 15, 2024: The NFL draft order is set and the Chicago Bears are on the clock. Will they give up on Justin Fields in favor of Caleb Williams who is now a -1,000 favorite? Or will they make a trade and allow a team below them to select a potential franchise QB in return for a slew of picks? Either way, Williams has pulled away from Drake Maye (+600) and Marvin Harrison (+1,400). January 8, 2024: It’s essentially ‘status quo’ as we head into the final week of the NFL regular season. Caleb Williams is the consensus No. 1 pick in next year’s NFL Draft with only North Carolina’s Drake Maye within touching distance of him at +400. With the Chicago Bears now on the clock for the first overall pick, it’ll be interesting to see if they stick with Justin Fields and draft Marvin Harrison Jr, or draft Williams and send Fields packing for a nice little package. December 21, 2023: It’s essentially ‘status quo’ as we head into college football bowl season. Caleb Williams is the consensus No. 1 pick in next year’s NFL Draft with only North Carolina’s Drake Maye within touching distance of him at +450. Both Williams and Maye have opted out of their team’s bowl games, so you can be certain the draft prep and lobbying has begun from both sides. Behind them, Marvin Harrison Jr. is still at +2,000 with J.J. McCarthy at +3,000 and Penn State OT, Olumuyiwa Fashanu rounding out the Top 5. November 9, 2023: It’s essentially ‘status quo’ as we head into college football bowl season. Caleb Williams is the consensus No. 1 pick in next year’s NFL Draft with only North Carolina’s Drake Maye within touching distance of him at +300. Williams has already opted out of USC’s bowl game in order to prep for the draft, while Maye has not made a similar decision as of yet. Behind them, Marvin Harrison Jr. is still at +2,000 with J.J. McCarthy at +3,000 and Penn State OT, Olumuyiwa Fashanu rounding out the Top 5. November 22, 2023: Will it be Caleb Williams? Or maybe it’ll be Drake Maye? Either way, we are in store for a debate all summer about which QB should go No. 1 overall in the 2024 NFL Draft. Statistically, Williams has had the better season, throwing for more yards and touchdowns, and most would say he’s an NFL-ready QB and can help whoever takes him win right away. So why is the gap closing? Tough to say, but whoever lands Maye is going to get one hell of a QB as well. Behind them, Marvin Harrison Jr. is still at +2,000 with J.J. McCarthy at +3,000 and Penn State OT, Olumuyiwa Fashanu rounding out the Top 5. November 9, 2023: Will it be Caleb Williams? Or maybe it’ll be Drake Maye? Either way, we are in store for a debate all summer about which QB should go No. 1 overall in the 2024 NFL Draft. Statistically, Williams has had the better season, throwing for more yards and touchdowns, and most would say he’s an NFL-ready QB and can help whoever takes him win right away. So why is the gap closing? Tough to say, but whoever lands Maye is going to get one hell of a QB as well. Behind them, Marvin Harrison is still at +2,000 with J.J. McCarthy at +3,000 and Penn State OT, Olumuyiwa Fashanu rounding out the Top 5. October 24, 2023: What was once a foregone conclusion, is now starting to heat up the rumor mill. Caleb Williams has seen his odds of being the No. 1 overall pick in the 2024 Draft slashed in half, while Drake Maye is picking up steam behind him, with his odds climbing to +270. This is the closest the two have been on the odds boards, and as the season comes to a conclusion, we’ll have several more months of debating whether it’ll be Williams or Maye to be the first player off the board. Behind them, despite a massive game against Penn State (11 catches, 162 yards, one TD), Marvin Harrison Jr. holds firm as the third betting choice at +2,000. October 4, 2023: Five weeks into the college football season, USC star QB Caleb Williams remains the betting favorite to go first overall at -550, while UNC QB Drake Maye remains the only other player within touching distance at +650. Quinn Ewers and Marvin Harrsion Jr. round out the Top 4 with reasonable odds before we get to Penn State offensive tackle Olumuyiwa Fashanu at +3,000. Further down the board, Duke QB Riley Leonard sits at +5,000 while Georgia tight end Brock Bowers checks in at +6,000. September 13, 2023: Three weeks into the college football season, USC star QB Caleb Williams remains the betting favorite to go first overall at -330, while UNC QB Drake Maye remains the only other player within touching distance at +550. The biggest mover on the odds boards was Texas QB Quinn Ewers who saw his 25/1 number cut down to 16/1 after throwing for 349 yards and three touchdowns in a win vs. Alabama. The first non-skill position player is still Penn State offensive tackle Olumuyiwa Fashanu at +3,000. Further down the board, Georgia tight end Brock Bowers checks in at +6,000, while Michigan QB J.J. McCarthy sits at +8000. August 23, 2023: As teams make the final preparations for the start of the 2024 college football season, USC star QB Caleb Williams remains the betting favorite to go first overall at -330, while UNC QB Drake Maye remains the only other player within touching distance at +450. Ohio State WR Marvin Harrison Jr. holds steady at 20/1, followed by Texas QB Quinn Ewers at 25/1. The first non-skill position player is Penn State offensive tackle Olumuyiwa Fashanu at +3,000. Further down the board, Georgia tight end Brock Bowers checks in at +6,000, while Michigan QB J.J. McCarthy sits at +800. April 27, 2023: It’s never too early to look ahead: USC star QB Caleb Williams is the massive favorite to go first at -550, while UNC QB Drake Maye is the only other person relatively close to him at +600. The next shortest option is Ohio State WR Marvin Harrison Jr. at 20/1, followed by Notre Dame OT Joe Alt and Penn State OT Olu Fashanu at +2,500. The first defensive player on the board is Alabama CB Ga’Quincy “Kool-Aid” McKinstry, who is tied at +3,000 with OSU DT Michael Hall Jr., while McKinstry’s teammate Dallas Turner (a linebacker) and FSU DE Jared Verse are the only other players opening at shorter than 40/1. Filling out the rest of the odds board are quarterbacks, including Texas’ Quinn Ewers, former Heisman candidate Spencer Rattler, and Colorado Buffalo Shedeur Sanders — the son of high-profile coach Deion Sanders.!
Draft Order | W/L Record |
---|---|
1. Chicago Bears (via Carolina) | 2-15 (Carolina) |
2. Washington Commanders | 4-13 |
3. New England Patriots | 4-13 |
4. Arizona Cardinals | 4-13 |
5. Los Angeles Chargers | 5-12 |
6. New York Giants | 6-11 |
7. Tennessee Titans | 6-11 |
8. Atlanta Falcons | 7-10 |
9. Chicago Bears | 7-10 |
10. New York Jets | 7-10 |
11. Minnesota Vikings | 7-10 |
12. Denver Broncos | 8-9 |
13. Las Vegas Raiders | 8-9 |
14. New Orleans Saints | 9-8 |
15. Indianapolis Colts | 9-8 |
16. Seattle Seahawks | 9-8 |
17. Jacksonville Jaguars | 9-8 |
18. Cincinnati Bengals | 9-8 |
19. Los Angeles Rams | 9-8 |
20. Pittsburgh Steelers | 9-8 |
21. Miami Dolphins | 10-7 (Houston) |
22. Philadelphia Eagles | 10-7 |
23. Minnesota Vikings (via Cleveland through Houston) | 7-10 |
24. Dallas Cowboys | 11-6 |
25. Green Bay Packers | 11-6 |
26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 11-6 |
27. Arizona Cardinals (via Houston) | 11-6 |
28. Buffalo Bills | 11-6 |
29. Detroit Lions | 12-5 |
30. Baltimore Ravens | 12-5 |
31. San Francisco 49ers | 12-5 |
32. Kansas City Chiefs | 13-4 |
Popular NFL betting tools
NFL Draft betting trends
• Quarterback is the most important position on the football field and following Carolina taking Bryce Young at No.1 in 2023, 19 of the last 26 first-overall picks have been QBs.
• All but two of the last 16 NFL Drafts have seen an offensive lineman get picked in the Top 10, with 2023 being no different as Paris Johnson Jr. went sixth and Darnell Wright went at No. 10.
List of first overall NFL Draft picks
How to bet on the 2024 NFL Draft
Sportsbooks will post odds for the player to go first overall in the draft as soon the previous year’s draft is over. Once the college football season begins in September, these odds could change weekly depending on how players are performing as well as the evaluations of trusted draftniks such as Mel Kiper Jr.
In addition, this NFL futures bet may also take into account the team needs of the worst team(s) in the NFL.
After the NCAA football season is over, NFL Draft odds will solidify after key events such as the underclassmen declaration deadline, the NFL Scouting Combine and pro days. In the weeks leading up to the draft, sportsbooks will offer more NFL Draft prop bets.
Understanding NFL Draft odds
The odds to go first overall in the NFL Draft will typically look like this:
This means that if you placed a $100 bet on Maye, you would win $550 if the Tar Heels QB goes first overall in 2024. When you get closer to the draft and there is a consensus on who will go first overall, you might see a player with a minus sign (-) ahead of his odds, like this:
This means that you’d have to bet $450 to win $100 on Williams being drafted first overall.
Above we have posted the American odds for the 2024 NFL Draft. However, these are easy to convert to decimal odds or fractional odds with our odds converter tool.
Get more NFL Draft betting tips and strategies with our draft betting guide.
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NFL Draft Odds FAQs
USC quarterback Caleb Williams is the consensus betting favorite (-550) to be the first selection in the 2024 NFL Draft.
Among the top prospects are USC QB Caleb Williams, UNC QB Drake Maye, and Ohio State WR Marvin Harrison Jr.
Alabama Quarterback Bryce Young went to the Carolina Panthers at No. 1 overall.