Free NCAA Pick: Auburn vs. Maryland Odds
Looking for Auburn Tigers vs. Maryland Terrapins free NCAA 2023 Transperfect Music City Bowl picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Tigers taking on the Terrapins on Saturday, December 30th at the Nissan Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Bowl games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Auburn Maryland matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Transperfect Music City Bowl
(6-6) Auburn Tigers vs. Maryland Terrapins (7-5)
2023 Transperfect Music City Bowl
Date: Saturday, December 30th
Time: 2:00 ET
Venue: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
Transperfect Music City Bowl ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Auburn -2.5 | Maryland +2.5
Music City Bowl Moneyline Odds: Auburn -136 | Maryland +112
College Football Betting Total: O/U 49.5
There isn’t much history between these teams, which is surprising. Over the years, you’d expect more matchups. Auburn holds a 2-1 all-time record against Maryland.
The Terrapins won 13-7 in 1952 in Birmingham, but Auburn won both games in Auburn with scores of 20-7 in 1958 and 35-23 in their 1983 meeting.
Auburn Tigers
Auburn is coming off a 27-24 loss to Alabama and were unable to pull out a win in the 4th quarter as Alabama outscored Auburn by four in the final period.
Against the spread, Auburn has gone 6-5 this season.
The Tigers have been favored five times compared to six games as the underdog.
After 12 games, the average over/under line in Auburn’s matches stands at 50 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 49.2 points, resulting in an OU record of 5-6.
Auburn Tigers Stats
On offense, the Tigers come in with the 95th ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 157.1 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 28th in terms of attempts.
Defensively, the Tigers enter the game with 27 sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries.
They’ve allowed 21.9 points per game thus far this season (77th). In terms of pass defense, they’re 50th in the NCAA, giving up 201.7 passing yards per game. Against the run, Auburn has allowed 161.3 rushing yards per contest thus far.
The Tigers’ passing game featured 17 pass attempts for 93 yards and one score vs. Alabama.
In the rushing department, they averaged 5.8 yards per carry and notched two rushing touchdowns.
The Saturday X-factor is turnovers. As bowl season nears, the Tigers rank third in the SEC for turnovers forced, with 17 (11 interceptions, 6 fumbles recovered).
Jaylin Simpson, has four interceptions this season, tied for third in the SEC. MD has to protect the football.
Maryland Terrapins
Maryland is coming off a 42-24 win over Rutgers in their last game.
Heading into this week’s matchup with Auburn, the Terrapins have been favored in eight games and the underdog in three. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 6-5.
Across 12 games, the average over/under line in Maryland’s matchups is 49.7 points.
These games have seen an average combined score of 52.8 points, resulting in an OU record of 7-4.
Maryland Terrapins Stats
In the rushing game, the Terrapins are currently 90th in college football with 348 attempts per game.
This has resulted in an average of 108.9 rushing yards per game, putting them 114th nationally. Their passing game has averaged 37.6 passes and 284.8 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 48th, averaging 29.6 points per game.
The Terrapins’ finished with 31 pass attempts vs. Rutgers, accumulating 361 yards and three scores. In the rushing game, they averaged 4.9 yards per carry and notched three rushing touchdowns.
This season, the Terrapins’ defense has allowed 130.8 rushing yards per contest, placing them 167th. Opponents are averaging 207.3 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 78.3 when facing Maryland.
They currently hold the 70th spot in NCAA points allowed.
It will be interesting to watch Maryland’s offense. Taulia Tagovailoa opted out on Dec. 19, so Billy Edwards Jr. will start his third game. Edwards, a role player, has been effective with six TDs using his speed and quick moves.
Auburn Tigers vs. Maryland Terrapins NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Tigers are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Terrapins are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Tigers are 4-5-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Terrapins have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Tigers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Terrapins’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Auburn vs. Maryland Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | -125 | -136 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Terrapins | +105 | +112 | +2.5 | +2.5 |
4* Free 2023 Transperfect Music City Bowl NCAA Betting Prediction: Auburn -2.5
Weather shouldn’t be a factor on Saturday in this matchup. High 40’s, Low 50’s expected, light winds, no rain. When it comes to the moneyline, my recommendation is to roll with Auburn. They should not only take take down Maryland but also to cover the spread.
Saturday promises diverse styles and rich bowl histories. Maryland, in its 30th bowl game (21 different bowls), holds a 13-14-2 record. Auburn, with 47 bowl appearances (3 in Music City Bowl), boasts a 2-0 Music City Bowl record and a 24-20-2 overall bowl record.
Auburn showcased a strong rushing game in their previous matchup against Alabama, and I expect them to carry that momentum into this week’s matchup.
Auburn holds a 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games. On the other hand, Maryland has struggled, going 2-5 SU in their last 7 games and 2-4 ATS in their last 6 December games. Additionally, Maryland is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games as underdogs.
For this game, I’m favoring Auburn to cover the spread at -2.5.
My bet for this game is the OVER, with the current over/under line at 49.5.
So far this season, Maryland games have averaged a combined score of 52.8 points, and I say this game surpasses 49.5.
We’ve seen the total go OVER in 4 of Maryland’s last 5 matchups.
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Auburn Tigers vs. Maryland Terrapins NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
The week in Nashville rolls on for @TerpsFootball!
Read about it all in Postcards from Nashville
➡️ https://t.co/cAmy14e15f pic.twitter.com/hGjuA9zJCq
— Maryland Terrapins (@umterps) December 29, 2023
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