Free NCAA Pick: Clemson vs. Duke Odds
Looking for Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils free NCAA Week 1 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Tigers taking on the Blue Devils on Monday, September 4th at the Wallace Wade Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Clemson Duke matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils (0-0)
Date: Monday, September 4th
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Wallace Wade Stadium
NCAA Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: Clemson -13 | Duke +13
Week 1 CFB Moneyline Odds: Clemson -533 | Duke +371
College Football Betting Total: O/U 56
The previous three head-head to matchups have gone in favor of Clemson with a record of 2-1. Clemson and Duke did not play last season. The over/under record in these games was 1-2 with the teams averaging 57 points per game combined.
Clemson went 3-0 vs. the spread.
Clemson’s dominance shines through with 5 consecutive W’s against Duke. Their latest matchup was in 2018. Which resulted in a convincing 35-6 triumph.
Clemson Tigers
Clemson capped last season with a 31-14 loss to Tennessee in the Capital One Orange Bowl. The Tigers’ overall record last season was 11-3, putting them 1st in the Atlantic Coast. Against non-conference teams, Clemson went 2-3.
Clemson Tigers Stats
After securing an ACC championship against the Tar Heels in the 2022/23 season, Clemson enters this year wanting more.
They lost in the Orange Bowl 31-14, a defeat at the hands of Tennessee. This loss proved costly, causing them to fall short of the College Football Playoff opportunity.
At the quarterback position, the Tigers will need to replace the production of last year’s leading passer (DJ Uiagalelei). For the season, he completed 62.1% of his passes for 2521 yards and 22 touchdowns.
Clemson’s leading returning QB is Cade Klubnik who threw for 697 yards last season.
The Clemson Tigers are looking for Will Shipley to build on last year’s production in the running game. Last year, he finished with 1182 yards on the ground. Antonio Williams is the team’s top returning receiver after catching 56 for 604 last season.
Last season, Clemson’s defense finished 50th in quarterback hurries and 4th in sacks. The team’s secondary ended the season with 13 interceptions and allowed 231.5 passing yards per contest (102nd).
Against the run, the Tigers were 18th in rushing yards allowed per game.
Duke Blue Devils
The Duke Blue Devils are coming off a season in which they finished 5th in the Atlantic Coast on a conference record of 5-3 and 9-4 overall. The Blue Devils ended their season with a 30-13 win over the UCF Knights in the Military Bowl. In non-conference play, Duke went 4-1 last season.
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I’m not sure what to expect out of Duke in 2023, although I do think the current edition could benefit from more skill at the skill positions.
They of course also didn’t do much on the transfer portal to enhance depth.
Duke Blue Devils Stats
At the quarterback position, the Blue Devils are returning last year’s leading passer, Riley Leonard. Last year, he threw for 2967 yards and threw 20 touchdowns. Overall, he completed 63.9% of his passes and finished with a passer rating of 97.
In the running game, the Blue Devils’ leading returning running back is Jordan Waters (graduate student) who ran for 566 yards last season. Duke’s top returning wide receiver is Jalon Calhoun. The redshirt senior caught 62 passes for 873 yards last season.
On defense, the Blue Devils finished 77th in the NCAA in points allowed at 22.1 points per game. On average, they gave up 257.3 passing yards on a completion percentage of 61%.
Duke’s run defense was 34th in College Football at 120.9 rushing yards per game.
For the season, they were 12th in quarterback hurries and 11th in sacks.
Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Tigers are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Blue Devils have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Tigers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Blue Devils’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Clemson vs. Duke Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | -500 | -533 | -12 | -13 |
| Blue Devils | +350 | +371 | +12 | +13 |
4* Free Week 1 NCAA Betting Prediction: Clemson -13
Even though I think the Duke defense holds significant promise, particularly within the secondary, they won’t be up for this challenge against ACC power Clemson.
Road favorites are coming off a season in which they went just 136-145-7. However, that is a trend worth ignoring for this matchup as not only should Clemson pick up the win but cover as 13-point favorites vs. Duke.
Anticipate that Clemson’s defense will continue to stand as one of the top contenders in college football, even though they have experienced the setback of losing a few essential components.
Strong Lean Under!
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