Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills 10823-Free Pick, NFL Odds



Free NFL Week 5 Pick: Jaguars vs. Bills Odds

Looking for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills free NFL Week 5 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Jaguars taking on the Bills on Sunday, October 8th at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Jacksonville Buffalo matchup.

NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 5

(2-2) Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills (3-1)
Date: Sunday, October 8th
Time: 9:30 ET
Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
NFL Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Jacksonville +5.5 | Buffalo -5.5
Week 5 NFL Moneyline Odds: Jacksonville +197 | Buffalo -247
NFL Betting Total: O/U 48

In this highly anticipated Week 5 showdown, the (2-2) Jacksonville Jaguars are set to clash with the (3-1) Buffalo Bills across the pond at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, UK, on Sunday, October 8th, at 9:30 ET.

The Bills, with a solid 3-1 ATS record in 2023, are making the trip, while the Jags have been awaiting their arrival since their Week 4 victory against the Falcons in London’s Wembley Stadium.

Currently, the Bills hold a -5.5 point spread favoring them, while the Jags sit at +5.5. The Moneyline odds stand at Jacksonville +197 and Buffalo -247, with the Over/Under set at 48 points.

Last week the Jaguars led by Calvin Ridley, secured a 23-7 victory over the Falcons, while the Bills showcased their offensive prowess in a dominating 48-20 win against the Dolphins on the road.

The Jaguars and Bills did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Jaguars have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread the Bills went 2-1.

The over/under record in these matchups was 1-2 on an average of 24 points per game.

In this historic matchup, the Bills and Jaguars have squared off 18 times, including 2 postseason games, resulting in a deadlocked series at 9-9.

Keep a close eye on our NFL football handicapping blog for valuable insights into this thrilling clash!

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Jacksonville Jaguars

Heading into week 5,Jacksonville is in 3rd place in the AFC-South, sitting with an overall record of 2-2. In the AFC, they find themsevles in 9th place. Taking a look at the Jaguars’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at -0.5.

This has resulted in an ATS record of 2-2.

After taking an early seven-point first quarter lead, the Jaguars went on to pick up the win. For the game, they averaged 4 yards per play leading to a total of 300 yards of offense. Defensively, they allowed 127 yards rushing and 8.4 yards per completion.

Going into the game, Jacksonville was favored by 3.5 and went on to cover the spread. Trevor Lawrence threw for 207 yards while completing 76% of his passes and throwing for 207. Lawrence threw for one touchdown.

Jacksonville Jaguars Stats

Offensively, the Jaguars rushed the ball 32 times against the Falcons. Travis Etienne Jr. led the ground attack with 55 yards.

Trevor Lawrence made 30 passing attempts, accumulating 207 yards and achieving a passer rating of 105.

Jacksonville’s offense comes in with an average of 20 points per game, which is currently 19th in the league.

Defensively, Jacksonville is 10th in the NFL in points allowed. Their opponents have an average of 20.5 points per game while gaining 333.0 yards per contest.

Buffalo Bills


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Looking at the AFC-East standings, the Bills are in 1st place on a record of 3-1. In the AFC, Buffalo is in 3rd place heading into week 5. In terms of the spread, the Bills hold a record of 3-1.

This has come on an average scoring margin of +21.

Key to the Bills’ win, was the fact that they got off to a good start in the first-quarter. Buffalo scored 14 points in the opening period. Overall, the Bills had 414 yards of offense compared to the 393 at 393.

Going into the game, Buffalo was favored by 3 and went on to cover the spread. Quarterback Josh Allen had a big game, throwing for 320 yards on a passer rating of 158.

Allen completed 84% of 25 attempts in the game.

Buffalo Bills Stats

Offensively, Josh Allen finished with 320 passing yards while completing 84% of his passes. On the ground, the Bills ran the ball 29 times for 104 yards. The team went 5/10 on third down.

Buffalo’s offense is 2nd in the league, with an average of 34.8 points per contest.

When it comes to defense, the Bills have given up 169.5 passing yards and 118.5 rushing yards per game. In terms of sacks, Buffalo ranks 1st among other defenses.

Coming into week 5, they have allowed 13.8 points per game and 288.0 yards.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Football Betting Trends

  • The Jaguars are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
  • Conversely, the Bills are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
  • Also, the Jaguars are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
  • On the other side, the Bills have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
  • Over the Jaguars’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
  • The Bills’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.

Jaguars vs. Bills Line Movement

Open-ML Live-ML Open-Spread Live-Spread
Jaguars +147 +197 +3.5 +5.5
Bills -174 -247 -3.5 -5.5

4* Free Week 5 NFL Betting Prediction: Jacksonville +5.5

My point spread pick for this game between the Jaguars and Bills is in favor of the Jaguars covering as road underdogs. They are currently getting 5.5 points, and I expect them to cover this spread. Jacksonville are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games.

We’re going to see points in this one. We saw 68 points in last week’s Dolphins matchup, and I’m not saying the Jags offense is the Dolphins but they are rounding into form and will put up points.

The Bills are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against an opponent in the AFC South.

We aren’t going to see Buffalo slowing down either so this one is bound to FLY over the 48. The public will no doubt be on the UNDER as the Jags L5 games at neutral venues has gone UNDER.

On the over/under, I have the best bet being to take the over at 48.

This looks like a slam dunk bet for me, as my gut tells me the over will hit as well as our model projecting a combined 52 points.

The Jags are averaging 20ppg, while the Bills are averaging 35ppg.

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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day

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About The Wiesguy

For nearly a decade the Wiesguy has been helping readers learn and win. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is a true expert. He is always a little sweet on the underdogs while covering all sports to give you the insight you need to build your bankroll.





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