Free NFL Week 9 Pick: Saints vs. Panthers Odds
Looking for New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Saints taking on the Panthers on Sunday, November 3rd at the Bank of America Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 9 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New Orleans Carolina matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 9
(2-6) New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers (1-7)
Date: Sunday, November 3rd
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte NC
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New Orleans -7 | Carolina +7
NFL Moneyline Odds: New Orleans -329 | Carolina +260
NFL Betting Total: O/U 43.5
Week 9 brings us a classic NFC South showdown with the (2-6) New Orleans Saints visiting the (1-7) Carolina Panthers. This historic rivalry has been a nail-biter over the years, with 29 out of 59 regular season matchups decided by eight points or less.
The Saints may lead the all-time series 32-28, but don’t count out Carolina’s competitive edge at home, especially after that Week 1 drubbing when the Saints rolled to a 47-10 victory in New Orleans.
The Saints are favored by a touchdown here (-7), and they desperately need a spark, having lost six straight.
There’s good news: their starting QB is expected back, which could add much-needed stability to their offense.
The Saints and Panthers did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Saints have a record of 3-0.
The Saints also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-0-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 42 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans heads into week 9 looking to snap a six-game losing streak, which includes a 26-8 loss to the Chargers in week 8. This dropped the Saints to 2-6, putting them 3rd in the NFC South. Our projections give them just a 1.6% chance of winning the division and a 3.1% chance of making the playoffs.
In our power rankings, the Saints sit 22nd. They have an average scoring margin of -2.6 points per game and are 3-5 against the spread.
Their O/U record is 5-3, with their games averaging 48.9 points per game.
New Orleans Saints Stats
Heading into week 9, the Saints rank 24th in our offensive power rankings. They are 17th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 23.1 points per game, and 20th in total offense with 319.5 yards per game. New Orleans has been strong early in games, ranking 7th in 1st quarter scoring, but they have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 38.8% of their attempts, which ranks 16th in the league.
They are 14th in passing attempts and 18th in passing yards per game, with 203.1. On the ground, they rank 15th in rushing attempts and 21st in rushing yards per game.
Spencer Rattler has been filling in at quarterback, throwing for 156 yards on 12/24 passing in week 8, after a 172-yard performance in week 7 and a 243-yard game in week 6.
Chris Olave led the team with 8 catches for 107 yards in week 8, while Alvin Kamara had 67 rushing yards on 10 carries. New Orleans has struggled on 3rd down recently, converting just 2 of 16 attempts in week 8.
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In the Saints’ 26-8 loss to the Chargers, they gave up 256 passing yards on 20 completions, including two passing touchdowns. The Saints struggled on third downs, allowing the Chargers to convert just 25% of their attempts. Despite recording three sacks, the defense allowed 378 total yards and 122 rushing yards on 29 attempts.
Carolina Panthers
Heading into week 9, the Panthers are looking to snap a five-game losing streak that includes a 28-14 loss to the Broncos in week 8. Carolina was a 13-point underdog in that game, but they couldn’t cover the spread, leaving them 1-7 ATS this season.
They have been the underdog in all their games so far, and their average scoring margin is -18.4 points per game.
With a 1-7 record, the Panthers are 32nd in our NFL power rankings and have a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs. Their O/U record is 6-2, with their games averaging 49.4 points compared to an average line of 43.
Carolina Panthers Stats
Heading into week 9, the Panthers rank 28th in our offensive power rankings, scoring 15.5 points per game, which is 29th in the NFL. They are also 29th in passing yards per game (177.9) despite ranking 11th in passing attempts.
On the ground, they average 104 rushing yards per game, ranking 25th in the league. Carolina has struggled on third down, converting just 31.6% of their attempts, but they are 7th in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 8, Bryce Young threw for 224 yards (24/37) with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions against the Broncos. Chuba Hubbard led the team with 56 rushing yards on 15 carries, while Jalen Coker had 4 receptions for 78 yards and a touchdown. Carolina scored 7 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters in the 28-14 loss.
In their 28-14 loss to the Broncos, the Panthers’ defense allowed 298 passing yards on 76.9% completions. The Panthers gave up three passing touchdowns and allowed Denver to convert on 64.7% of their third down attempts.
Despite this, the Panthers’ defense did well against the run, allowing just 102 yards on 32 attempts.
Carolina’s defense managed two sacks in the game but struggled to stop the Broncos’ passing attack, giving up 400 total yards and allowing a 7.6 yards per attempt in the passing game.
Additionally, the Panthers lost the tackles for loss differential in this one.
New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Saints are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Panthers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Saints are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Panthers have gone 2-7-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Saints’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Panthers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Saints vs. Panthers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | -118 | -328 | -1 | -7 |
| Panthers | -102 | +260 | +1 | +7 |
4* Free Week 9 NFL Betting Prediction: Carolina +7
Historically, New Orleans has been strong against Carolina with a 12-4 record in their last 16 matchups, though they’re just 1-5 ATS over the last six.
Carolina’s got nothing to lose here, and with the Saints’ recent struggles, this game might be closer than many expect.
Panthers are 1-7 at home, but this week I see them keeping things tight, especially in the fourth quarter. With an O/U sitting at 43.5, expect some late-game drama that could have bettors on the edge of their seats.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Panthers to cover as home underdogs in this week nine matchup between the Panthers and Saints. Right now, the line is sitting at +7, and we have them losing this one, but only by a score of 21-20.
For this week’s over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the UNDER, with a projected combined score of 41 points and the O/U line at 43.5 points.
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New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Trouble² pic.twitter.com/UiAWandFtQ
— Carolina Panthers (@Panthers) October 30, 2024
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