Free NFL Wild Card Round Pick: Eagles vs. Buccaneers Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers free Wild Card Round picks & NFL odds? NFL playoff betting sees the Eagles taking on the Buccaneers on Monday, January 15th at the Raymond James Stadium, in Tampa, FL. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL Super Wildcard Weekend games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Philadelphia Tampa Bay matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Wild Card Weekend
(11-6) Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8)
2024 Super Wildcard Weekend
Date: Monday, January 15th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay FL
NFL Wild Card Round ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Philadelphia -2.5 | Tampa Bay +2.5
Wild Card Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia -150 | Tampa Bay +123
NFL Betting Total: O/U 44
The first matchup between the teams saw, the Eagles win with a 25-11 score over Buccaneers. Taking the point spread into account, Eagles were the favorites by -5.5 and they covered it with a 14 point victory.
The over/under line going into the game was 44 points, which the teams fell short of.
The Buccaneers and Eagles have squared off 22 times, encompassing 5 postseason matchups. Tampa Bay emerged victorious in 11 of these contests, while the Eagles also clinched 11 wins.
Before placing your bets this week, it’s crucial to stay updated on the injury reports.
The Eagles’ performance in the last two months of the season has raised concerns, especially with key players like Jalen Hurts, Brown, and Smith dealing with injuries.
Additionally, Mayfield is not operating at full strength, further complicating matters.
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Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles have faced difficulties on both offense and defense in their recent late-season slump.
Starting the season at 10-1 straight up, their offense has taken a significant hit, averaging only 20.5 PPG in their current 1-5 SU slide compared to 28 PPG during their impressive start.
Heading into their matchup with the Buccaneers, the Eagles have a 11-6 record.
In the NFC-East, they are in 2nd place and 5th place in the NFC overall. As the underdog, Philadelphia has gone 1-2 this season compared to their ATS record of 6-6-2 as the favorite.
At home, the Eagles are 3-4-1 ATS and 4-4-1 vs. the spread on the road.
Last week, the Eagles’ loss to the Giants was one of their worst margins of defeat in recent history. The Eagles’ defense allowed 415 yards of total offense which included 109 yards on the ground and 306 through the air.
Offensively, the Eagles finished with 299 of total offense.
Philadelphia also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 4.5 point favorites. Marcus Mariota threw for 148 yards while completing 65% of his passes and throwing for 148.
Mariota threw for one touchdown.
Philadelphia Eagles Stats
On offense, the Eagles finished with 299 yards against the Giants. On third-down situations, the Eagles had a 38.5% conversion rate. Notably, Kenneth Gainwell led the rushing attack with 62 yards, while Mariota passed for 148 yards.
The Eagles come in with an average 25.5 points per game on offense, which has them 7th in the NFL.
The Philadelphia defense has 18 takeaways this season, positioning them 12th in the NFL.
Overall, they are at 25.2 points per game allowed and giving up an average of 356.1 yards.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs have excelled defensively, yielding only 16.3 PPG in their 5-1 run, leading to a 4-1 spread streak. Their recent playoff home games recently saw them concede 30.5 PPG, resulting in both outright and spread losses.
Looking at the NFC-South standings, the Buccaneers are in 1st place on a record of 9-8. In the NFC, Tampa Bay is in 4th place heading into Wild Card round. The Buccaneers currently hold a 11-6 record against the spread.
Even though the Buccaneers failed to score in the first quarter last week vs. the Panthers, they rebounded and picked up the win. Their offensive output totaled 228 yards, while they conceded 199 yards to the Panthers on defense.
Going into the game, Tampa Bay was favored by 4.5 and went on to cover the spread. Baker Mayfield did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 20 of 32 passes for 137 yards.
Mayfield ended the game with a passer rating of 72.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats
On offense, the Buccaneers finished with 228 yards against the Panthers. On third-down situations, the Buccaneers had a 37.5% conversion rate.
Notably, Rachaad White led the rushing attack with 75 yards, while Mayfield passed for 137 yards.
As they enter week 1, the Buccaneers offense ranks 18th in the league, averaging 20.5 points per contest.
In terms of defense, the Buccaneers hold the 5th position in tackles for loss and are ranked 7th in sacks.
Opponents are managing to score an average of 19.1 points and gain 344.2 yards per game against them.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Eagles are 1-4 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Eagles are 4-5-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Buccaneers have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Eagles’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Buccaneers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Eagles vs. Buccaneers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | -150 | -149 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Buccaneers | +124 | +123 | +2.5 | +2.5 |
4* Free Wildcard NFL Betting Prediction: Tampa Bay +2.5
The Eagles have struggled recently, going 0-6 ATS in their last six games and posting a 1-5 SU record in the same span. Additionally, they’ve been 1-4 SU in their last five meetings against Tampa Bay.
On the flip side, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have fared better, with a 4-1 ATS record in their last five games and a 5-1 SU record in their last six games overall.
Tampa Bay holds a 4-1 SU record in their last five matchups against NFC opponents.
Tampa Bay’s defense closed out their most-recent game with a solid performance and should keep the Eagles’ offense in check.
Even though the Buccaneers are 2.5 point home underdogs vs. the Eagles, I like the Buccaneers to cover the spread.
Right now the over/under line is sitting at 44, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.
For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has Philadelphia and Tampa Bay combining for 44 points.
In Tampa Bay, the total has trended below in 6 of their last 7 home games, and it’s a consistent theme as it has gone UNDER in 7 of their last 7 matchups against NFC East opponents.
On the other side, Philadelphia also favors low-scoring games, with the total going UNDER in 7 of their last 8 road games and 6 of their last 7 against NFC South rivals.
Eagles Buccaneers NFL Handicapping
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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Eagles. Buccaneers.#RaiseTheFlags pic.twitter.com/oNqWDdeTEn
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) January 12, 2024
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