The NFL playoffs enter Sunday with six teams remaining in the playoff race. Following both the 49ers and Ravens taking care of business at home in Saturday’s action, each contender saw their odds shorten in the latest betting markets.
In the famous words of Bill Belichick, “We’re on to… [the Divisional Round].”
We’ve already seen the San Francisco 49ers and Baltimore Ravens take care of business at home, and bettors are now getting ready for the Kansas City Chiefs visiting the Buffalo Bills on Sunday for another installment of Patrick Mahomes vs. Josh Allen.
Join me as I run down the latest NFL odds to win the Super Bowl below — plus check out our early Super Bowl predictions and picks as well.
2024 Super Bowl odds
The San Francisco 49ers (+175) are the Super Bowl 58 betting favorites. The Baltimore Ravens (+190), and Buffalo Bills (+550) are also fighting for the top spot.
Super Bowl odds over time
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2024 Super Bowl favorites
San Francisco 49ers (+165 to +210)
Other than a few blips along the way, the San Francisco 49ers were the class of the NFC and marched into the postseason with a 12-5 record, clinching a bye before Week 18 even got underway.
After licking their wounds and getting healthy, the 49ers survived a scare against the Green Bay Packers on Saturday night, hanging on for a 24-21 win following a go-ahead Christian McCaffrey touchdown in the final stages of the 4th quarter.
Baltimore Ravens (+190 to +290)
The Baltimore Ravens, meanwhile, finished with the best record in the NFL at 13-4 and were the only team with a scoring differential above 200.
Lamar Jackson cemented himself as the NFL MVP odds favorite as he and the rest of the team looked no worse for wear coming off the bye week, dismantling the Houston Texans 30-14 in the Divisional Round.
Buffalo Bills (+450 to +600)
The Buffalo Bills pulled off the, if not impossible, the very unlikely task of winning the AFC East after winning five straight games to finish the season, ending with a 21-14 win over the Miami Dolphins in Week 18. Sure, they left some points on the field and Josh Allen threw a pair of interceptions and lost a fumble, but the Bills still managed to win.
In the Wild Card game, Allen redeemed himself, throwing three touchdown passes and running it in for a 52-yard rushing touchdown. The outcome was never in doubt, and now the Bills welcome Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs to town on Sunday night.
Vegas odds to win Super Bowl 58
Odds as of January 17, 2024
Teams with the best Super Bowl odds
Odds courtesy of DraftKings — January 20, 2024.
Who is going to the Super Bowl?
Odds as of January 17, 2024.
Unsurprisingly, the 49ers are expected to secure a spot in the top three potential Super Bowl matchups.
Entering the playoffs as favorites at +175 to hoist the Lombardi Trophy, San Francisco has notched 11 victories this season by a winning margin of double-digits.
A Baltimore vs. San Francisco Super Bowl matchup currently tops the list at DraftKings, which would bring us a rematch from Super Bowl XLII in 2013 when John Harbaugh’s Ravens prevailed over Colin Kaepernick and the 49ers in New Orleans.
(If that’s the case, let’s just hope Usher doesn’t cause a power outage following halftime.)
Super Bowl Contenders
San Francisco 49ers (+150)
Pros: Elite offense. Plethora of options including Christian McCaffrey. Innovative head coach. Great schemes. Top 10 defense. Home field until SB58.
Cons: Stumbled into the postseason. Uncertainty surrounding Brock Purdy.
Baltimore Ravens (+195)
Pros: Dynamic offense. Lamar Jackson NFL MVP. Emergence of Zay Flowers. Defensively sound. Home field until SB 58.
Cons: Lamar Jackson’s history of falling short.
Buffalo Bills (+550)
Pros: Josh Allen. Emergence of Dalton Kincaid. Top 10 units on both sides of the football.
Cons: Josh Allen’s decision-making. Path to SB 58 (vs. Chiefs then vs. Ravens [likely]). Decimated by injuries on defense.
Kanas City Chiefs (+800)
Pros: Patrick Mahomes. Travis Kelce. Andy Reid. Top 5 defense.
Cons: Underwhelming recievers. First road playoff game in the Mahomes era.
Detroit Lions (+950)
Pros: Playmakers on offense. QB with Super Bowl experience. Dan Campbell’s tenacity.
Cons: Total defense (23rd). Pass defense (25th).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3,500)
Pros: Playing with house money. Rejuvenated Baker Mayfield. Stout against the run — good matchup vs. Lions.
Cons: Poor pass defense. One dimensional offense.
Super Bowl line movement (Wild Card to Divisional Round)
Odds courtesy of BetMGM as of January 20
Super Bowl History
Early line movement
Those looking for an inside edge when betting the Super Bowl might want to follow the early line moves. Sharp professional players are most often the first ones to bet the Big Game odds the second they hit the board, and they’ve been right more often than they’ve been wrong in recent years.
Over the last 14 Super Bowls, the early money has been on the right side on 11 occasions (with one game resulting in a push).
| Super Bowl | Teams | Opening Spread | Early Move | Closing Spread | Early Money ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57 |
Chiefs vs. Eagles |
Eagles -1.5 | Eagles -2 | Eagles -1 |
Eagles (Loss) |
| 56 |
Bengals vs. Rams |
Rams -3.5 | Rams -4.5 | Rams -4.5 |
(Rams) Loss |
| 55 |
Chiefs vs. Buccaneers |
Chiefs -3.5 | Chiefs -3 | Chiefs -3 |
(Bucs) Win |
| 54 | Chiefs vs. 49ers | Pick’em | Chiefs -1 | Chiefs -1.5 | (Chiefs) Win |
| 53 | Patriots vs. Rams | Patriots -1.5 | Patriots -2 | Patriots -2.5 | (Patriots) Win |
| 52 | Patriots vs. Eagles | Patriots -5.5 | Patriots -3.5 | Patriots -4.5 | (Eagles) Win |
| 51 | Patriots vs. Falcons | Patriots -3 | Patriots -3 (-120) | Patriots -3 | (Patriots) Win |
| 50 | Broncos vs. Panthers | Panthers -3.5 | Panthers -4.5 | Panthers -4.5 | (Panthers) Loss |
| 49 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | Patriots -1 | No move | Patriots -1 | Draw |
| 48 | Broncos vs. Seahawks | Pick’em | Seahawks -1 | Seahawks -1.5 | (Seahawks) Win |
| 47 | 49ers vs. Ravens | 49ers -4 | 49ers -3.5 | 49ers -4.5 | (Ravens) Win |
| 46 | Patriots vs. Giants | Patriots -3.5 | Patriots -3 | Patriots -3 | (Giants) Win |
| 45 | Packers vs. Steelers | Packers -2 | Packers -3 | Packers -3 | (Packers) Win |
| 44 | Colts vs. Saints | Colts -3.5 | Colts -6 | Colts -4.5 | (Colts) Loss |
| 43 | Steelers vs. Cardinals | Steelers -6.5 | Steelers -5.5 | Steelers -6.5 | (Cardinals) Win |
| 42 | Patriots vs. Giants | Patriots -13 | Patriots -11.5 | Patriots -11.5 | (Giants) Win |
Previous Super Bowl Winners
Below we’ve listed all the Super Bowl winners since 2000 and their preseason odds.
| Year | Winner | Preseason Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Kansas City Chiefs | +1,020 |
| 2021 | Los Angeles Rams | +1,200 |
| 2020 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +1,000 |
| 2019 | Kansas City Chiefs | +600 |
| 2018 | New England Patriots | +600 |
| 2017 | Philadelphia Eagles | +4,000 |
| 2016 | New England Patriots | +600 |
| 2015 | Denver Broncos | +900 |
| 2014 | New England Patriots | +650 |
| 2013 | Seattle Seahawks | +800 |
| 2012 | Baltimore Ravens | +1,800 |
| 2011 | New York Giants | +2,200 |
| 2010 | Green Bay Packers | +1,100 |
| 2009 | New Orleans Saints | +2,200 |
| 2008 | Pittsburgh Steelers | +1,800 |
| 2007 | New York Giants | +3,000 |
| 2006 | Indianapolis Colts | +600 |
| 2005 | Pittsburgh Steelers | +1,200 |
| 2004 | New England Patriots | +600 |
| 2003 | New England Patriots | +1,500 |
| 2002 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +1,200 |
| 2001 | New England Patriots | +6,000 |
| 2000 | Baltimore Ravens | +2,200 |
Super Bowl wins and appearances by team
The New England Patriots have the most Super Bowl appearances at 11 and are tied with the Pittsburgh Steelers for most wins with six.
| Team | Appearances | Wins |
|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | 11 | 6 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 8 | 6 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 8 | 5 |
| Denver Broncos | 8 | 3 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 7 | 5 |
| Washington Commanders | 5 | 3 |
| Green Bay Packers | 5 | 4 |
| Miami Dolphins | 5 | 2 |
| New York Giants | 5 | 4 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | 3 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 5 | 2 |
| Buffalo Bills | 4 | 0 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 4 | 0 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 2 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 3 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 4 | 1 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 1 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 0 |
| Carolina Panthers | 2 | 0 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 2 | 0 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 2 | 2 |
| Chicago Bears | 2 | 1 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2 | 2 |
| New Orleans Saints | 1 | 1 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 1 | 0 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 1 | 0 |
| New York Jets | 1 | 1 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0 | 0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 0 | 0 |
| Detroit Lions | 0 | 0 |
| Houston Texans | 0 | 0 |
Popular NFL futures markets
Super Bowl trends
• An NFC East team has won the Super Bowl 13 times, the most of any division.
• Ten wild-card teams have gone on to win the Super Bowl.
• The New England Patriots are the only franchise to win back-to-back Super Bowl titles since 2000.
Where to bet on the Super Bowl
If you’re in a state that allows mobile, or online betting, make sure you know which ones are the best Super Bowl betting sites. Great betting sites offer sharp odds, quick payouts and are safe and secure when it comes to depositing and withdrawing your money.
Super Bowl betting bonuses and promo codes
Taking advantage of bonus bets and promotions is a great way to maximize your potential winnings when wagering on the Super Bowl. Check back closer to the big game for our comprehensive list of the best Super Bowl 58 betting bonuses and promos available at legal online betting sites in the U.S. and Canada.
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Super Bowl Odds FAQs
The San Francisco 49ers are the current favorites to win Super Bowl 58.
The 49ers are +250 favorites to win Super Bowl 58.
The Philadelphia Eagles were 1.5-point favorites over the Kansas City Chiefs for Super Bowl 57 and the Over/Under total was 51.5.
Super Bowl 58 is set to be played at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas on February 11, 2024. It marks the first time the NFL’s championship game will be played in Sin City.
The New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers have each won six Super Bowl titles. The Pats hoisted the Vince Lombardi Trophy most recently in 2018, while the last time the Steelers were champs was 2008.
It is estimated that 50 million Americans wagered on Super Bowl LVII in 2023, with their bets surpassing $16 billion. That’s more than twice the amount wagered in 2022.
